Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008767 0.010333 0.012218 0.014694 0.017918 0.022060 0.027933
2025-08-31 0.006848 0.008719 0.011242 0.015026 0.020815 0.029841 0.046196
2025-09-07 0.005616 0.007485 0.010185 0.014598 0.022145 0.035758 0.066105
2025-09-14 0.004759 0.006548 0.009261 0.013984 0.022788 0.040696 0.088928
2025-09-21 0.004251 0.006016 0.008813 0.013974 0.024430 0.048489 0.128812
2025-09-28 0.003967 0.005771 0.008759 0.014614 0.027589 0.061987 0.213759
2025-10-05 0.003828 0.005732 0.009032 0.015936 0.032875 0.086312 0.439880
2025-10-12 0.003607 0.005518 0.008949 0.016502 0.036641 0.110750 0.873649
2025-10-19 0.003326 0.005162 0.008538 0.016243 0.038060 0.128510 1.548823
2025-10-26 0.003126 0.004928 0.008324 0.016382 0.040790 0.157448 3.660426
2025-11-02 0.002910 0.004639 0.007960 0.016072 0.041961 0.181084 8.893037
2025-11-09 0.002659 0.004262 0.007371 0.015076 0.040334 0.184864 15.452035
2025-11-16 0.002432 0.003930 0.006873 0.014322 0.039720 0.199644 52.425903
2025-11-23 0.002315 0.003796 0.006782 0.014649 0.043618 0.266855 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002157 0.003567 0.006451 0.014236 0.044284 0.309038 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002003 0.003334 0.006085 0.013643 0.043872 0.340389 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001905 0.003202 0.005928 0.013633 0.046289 0.432711 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001855 0.003161 0.005973 0.014251 0.052518 0.673801 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001843 0.003196 0.006199 0.015528 0.064134 1.408136 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001791 0.003142 0.006205 0.016074 0.072164 2.602421 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001705 0.003010 0.006000 0.015824 0.074364 3.714257 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001644 0.002925 0.005905 0.015958 0.079979 6.938619 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001569 0.002806 0.005707 0.015659 0.081755 10.914816 NaN